Will oil prices slow down the economy?
Oil prices have been rising since the end of last year to a six-month high, and have risen steadily higher for the past two months. ...
The yield curve inversion and what that means for the economy
The bond market has driven the 3-month yield higher than the 10-year yield (the classic “yield-curve inversion”), which has been a...
Have the bears had their last roar, or is the market poised for more pain?
Stock market news this week has provided some interesting opinions on where the market is headed. After three straight days of gains,...
Does a slowing economy mean a recession is around the corner?
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the economy was “healthy” and conditions “favorable” but warned of potential headwinds and future...
Could a recession actually boost real estate sales?
Consider this hypothetical question: if a recession hits this year or next, could that actually be good for real estate sales? Typically,...
2018 Year-end summary, and a 2019 projection
2018 has been a year of highs and lows, and a particularly gyrating stock market (that I have likened to a roller-coaster ride in earlier...
The economy, tax cuts, and the Federal Reserve (my 100th blog!)
The economy this year has been performing better than expected, due to the cumulative effects of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA)....
Fed Policy Course: middle of the road?
As expected, the Fed announced another quarter point interest rate hike. Fed guidance for further rate increases was also as expected:...
Labor Day weekend – a time to reflect and plan
How long can the good times last? The economy has been strong, posting the best GDP quarter since 2014, and the best unemployment...
Where will this economic road lead us?
When considering the economic business cycle, one way to think about it is like the four seasons of the weather. The cycle starts with a...
